Aarau vs FC Wil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
22.9%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2013 |
WOH
1 - 3
FCA
20%
24%
56%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
LOC
0 - 3
FCA
17%
22%
61%
|
69 | 52 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2013 |
FCA
0 - 1
BEL
57%
24%
20%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2013 |
FCA
3 - 1
WIN
53%
23%
23%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2013 |
FCA
1 - 4
GCZ
38%
24%
38%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
FC Wil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
WIL
1 - 1
LUG
59%
22%
19%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2013 |
LOC
2 - 3
WIL
18%
22%
60%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
WIL
1 - 0
WIN
45%
24%
31%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
WIL
2 - 3
FCV
57%
23%
21%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2013 |
WIL
2 - 4
ZUR
24%
22%
54%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | -1 |