Aarau vs St. Gallen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.1%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.2%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.4%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
42.8%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2007 |
SCH
0 - 2
FCA
48%
27%
26%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2007 |
FCA
0 - 0
GCZ
24%
26%
51%
|
63 | 80 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2007 |
THU
1 - 0
FCA
60%
23%
16%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2007 |
FCA
0 - 3
ZUR
17%
22%
61%
|
64 | 84 | 20 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2007 |
BAS
2 - 0
FCA
82%
13%
6%
|
64 | 84 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
St. Gallen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2007 |
STG
0 - 3
SIO
55%
24%
21%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2007 |
STG
1 - 1
SCH
69%
20%
12%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2007 |
FCL
1 - 1
STG
39%
26%
35%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2007 |
STG
2 - 0
THU
54%
24%
22%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2007 |
YOB
1 - 1
STG
65%
20%
16%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |