Aarau vs St. Gallen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.6%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
25.2%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 1998 |
FCA
1 - 2
ZUR
51%
25%
24%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1998 |
ZUR
3 - 2
FCA
42%
27%
31%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 1998 |
STG
2 - 0
FCA
40%
27%
34%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1998 |
FCA
1 - 3
SER
46%
26%
29%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 1998 |
SIO
0 - 0
FCA
53%
24%
23%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
St. Gallen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 1998 |
STG
0 - 1
SER
35%
27%
38%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1998 |
SER
3 - 0
STG
58%
22%
20%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1998 |
STG
2 - 0
FCA
40%
27%
34%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1998 |
ZUR
3 - 0
STG
43%
26%
31%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1998 |
GCZ
2 - 2
STG
74%
16%
11%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |