Aarau vs St. Gallen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.1%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
19.4%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 1996 |
YOB
1 - 1
FCA
35%
28%
37%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1996 |
FCA
0 - 0
SIO
35%
26%
39%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 1996 |
FCA
0 - 0
FCL
52%
24%
24%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1996 |
LAU
0 - 1
FCA
49%
25%
25%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 1996 |
LUG
0 - 1
FCA
37%
28%
35%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
St. Gallen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 1996 |
STG
1 - 3
NEX
31%
28%
42%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1996 |
SER
1 - 1
STG
56%
24%
20%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1996 |
STG
2 - 3
GCZ
25%
26%
49%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1996 |
STG
3 - 2
FCL
43%
26%
31%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1996 |
BAS
2 - 2
STG
65%
20%
15%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |