Aarau vs St. Gallen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.6%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
21.8%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 1994 |
LAU
2 - 2
FCA
45%
27%
28%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1994 |
FCA
2 - 2
NEX
52%
26%
23%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1994 |
BAS
0 - 2
FCA
56%
24%
20%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1994 |
FCA
3 - 0
SER
44%
26%
30%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 1994 |
YOB
1 - 0
FCA
50%
25%
25%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
St. Gallen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 1994 |
GCZ
2 - 1
STG
68%
19%
13%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1994 |
STG
0 - 1
SIO
46%
26%
29%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1994 |
STG
4 - 0
LAU
59%
23%
18%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 1994 |
YOB
1 - 1
STG
51%
25%
24%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1994 |
ZUR
1 - 1
STG
46%
27%
27%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |