Aarau vs St. Gallen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.6%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
10%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
17.5%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 1988 |
GCZ
1 - 0
FCA
62%
22%
16%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 1988 |
FCA
2 - 2
SER
47%
24%
29%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 1988 |
FCW
0 - 0
FCA
44%
27%
29%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 1988 |
FCA
1 - 1
NEX
41%
25%
34%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 1988 |
LUG
2 - 1
FCA
53%
25%
22%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
St. Gallen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 1988 |
STG
2 - 0
YOB
53%
24%
23%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 1988 |
STG
2 - 1
FCW
61%
23%
16%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 1988 |
SER
7 - 1
STG
67%
19%
14%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 1988 |
STG
4 - 1
LUG
45%
26%
29%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Jul. 1988 |
NEX
3 - 1
STG
78%
14%
8%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | 0 |