Aarau vs St. Gallen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.7%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
17.5%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 1986 |
FCL
1 - 0
FCA
55%
23%
22%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 1986 |
FCA
0 - 5
NEX
40%
25%
35%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 May. 1986 |
STG
1 - 2
FCA
60%
21%
19%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1986 |
FCA
1 - 3
SER
49%
24%
27%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1986 |
FCL
1 - 1
FCA
52%
24%
24%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
St. Gallen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 1986 |
STG
2 - 2
GCZ
46%
24%
30%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 1986 |
BEL
2 - 0
STG
32%
27%
41%
|
75 | 53 | 22 | -1 |
| 27 May. 1986 |
STG
1 - 2
FCA
60%
21%
19%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1986 |
LAU
1 - 0
STG
54%
24%
23%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 May. 1986 |
STG
4 - 0
BAD
79%
15%
7%
|
76 | 46 | 30 | 0 |