Aarau vs St. Gallen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.4%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
21%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 1981 |
BEL
0 - 3
FCA
39%
27%
34%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1981 |
FCA
2 - 2
GCZ
27%
23%
50%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 1981 |
LAU
2 - 2
FCA
59%
22%
19%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1981 |
FCA
4 - 0
NOB
65%
20%
15%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1981 |
YOB
5 - 1
FCA
70%
18%
12%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
St. Gallen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 1981 |
STG
2 - 0
BUL
75%
16%
9%
|
72 | 54 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1981 |
BAS
5 - 2
STG
74%
16%
10%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 1981 |
STG
0 - 1
GCZ
36%
26%
38%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1981 |
FCL
1 - 0
STG
51%
25%
24%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1981 |
LAU
0 - 1
STG
61%
22%
17%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |