Super League Playoffs Promotion Final
Global 1-3
Aarau vs Sion analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.1%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.1%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
49.1%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
15%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2012 |
SIO
3 - 0
FCA
67%
20%
13%
|
61 | 78 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2012 |
FCA
7 - 0
ETO
73%
18%
10%
|
61 | 46 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2012 |
STG
1 - 2
FCA
65%
20%
14%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
FCA
5 - 0
DEL
70%
18%
12%
|
60 | 44 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
BIE
0 - 3
FCA
45%
24%
31%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Sion
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2012 |
SIO
3 - 0
FCA
67%
20%
13%
|
78 | 61 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2012 |
SIO
1 - 3
FCL
38%
28%
34%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2012 |
YOB
3 - 0
SIO
62%
21%
17%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
SIO
3 - 2
GCZ
50%
26%
24%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2012 |
LAU
1 - 0
SIO
23%
27%
50%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |