Aarau vs Servette analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.6%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
22.9%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2016 |
WIN
1 - 2
FCA
36%
26%
38%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2016 |
FCA
1 - 1
CHI
66%
20%
14%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | -1 |
| 09 Jul. 2016 |
GCZ
2 - 2
FCA
58%
23%
20%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | -1 |
| 06 Jul. 2016 |
FCA
4 - 0
SVS
59%
21%
20%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2016 |
THU
0 - 3
FCA
58%
22%
20%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Servette
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2016 |
M05
2 - 1
SER
66%
21%
13%
|
62 | 84 | 22 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2016 |
NEX
2 - 1
SER
53%
24%
23%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | -2 |
| 16 Jul. 2016 |
SER
1 - 1
NIC
20%
23%
57%
|
65 | 81 | 16 | -1 |
| 09 Jul. 2016 |
LUG
4 - 0
SER
56%
22%
22%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2016 |
SOC
0 - 0
SER
43%
26%
32%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |