Aarau vs Servette analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.1%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
30.2%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 1994 |
YOB
1 - 0
FCA
50%
25%
25%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1994 |
FCA
2 - 1
FCL
53%
24%
23%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 1994 |
LUG
1 - 1
FCA
48%
27%
25%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1994 |
ZUR
4 - 0
FCA
43%
28%
30%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 1994 |
FCA
3 - 0
SIO
41%
27%
32%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Servette
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 1994 |
SER
0 - 0
LUG
52%
25%
23%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1994 |
LAU
3 - 1
SER
44%
25%
31%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1994 |
SER
1 - 1
SIO
48%
25%
27%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1994 |
STG
2 - 1
SER
49%
24%
27%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 1994 |
NEX
4 - 2
SER
40%
27%
33%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | -1 |