Aarau vs Servette analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.4%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
26.6%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 1989 |
SIO
2 - 1
FCA
66%
20%
14%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 1989 |
FCA
2 - 1
NEX
41%
25%
34%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 1989 |
GCZ
1 - 2
FCA
68%
20%
12%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 1989 |
FCA
1 - 2
BEL
65%
19%
15%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 1989 |
STG
0 - 0
FCA
51%
26%
23%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Servette
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 1989 |
SER
1 - 3
YOB
50%
24%
26%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 1989 |
SER
4 - 1
BEL
63%
21%
17%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 1989 |
STG
1 - 1
SER
42%
25%
34%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 1989 |
SER
1 - 2
NEX
41%
25%
34%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 1989 |
GCZ
1 - 1
SER
59%
21%
20%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |