Aarau vs Servette analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.8%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
27.5%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 1987 |
YOB
1 - 2
FCA
59%
23%
19%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1987 |
FCA
2 - 1
STG
55%
23%
22%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1987 |
ZUR
2 - 0
FCA
54%
25%
22%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1987 |
FCA
1 - 3
FCL
61%
21%
18%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 1987 |
BAS
0 - 1
FCA
55%
23%
22%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Servette
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 1987 |
SER
1 - 1
LAU
65%
19%
16%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1987 |
NEX
4 - 1
SER
58%
22%
20%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 1987 |
SER
3 - 1
GCZ
51%
24%
25%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 1987 |
SIO
4 - 1
SER
54%
22%
24%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 1987 |
SER
3 - 1
BEL
73%
16%
10%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | 0 |