Qualif. Champions Quarter-finals
Global 3-2
Aarau vs Omonia Nicosia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.8%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
16%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 1993 |
FCA
4 - 0
NEX
44%
27%
29%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1993 |
FCA
1 - 1
SER
42%
27%
31%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1993 |
ZUR
3 - 1
FCA
45%
28%
26%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 1993 |
OMO
2 - 1
FCA
41%
26%
33%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 1993 |
YVE
0 - 0
FCA
47%
26%
27%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Omonia Nicosia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 1993 |
OMO
2 - 1
FCA
41%
26%
33%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1991 |
BRU
2 - 0
OMO
91%
6%
2%
|
68 | 87 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1991 |
OMO
4 - 0
APO
47%
26%
27%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | +2 |
| 18 Sep. 1991 |
OMO
0 - 2
BRU
18%
23%
60%
|
67 | 87 | 20 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 1990 |
AND
3 - 0
OMO
90%
7%
3%
|
68 | 87 | 19 | -1 |