Aarau vs Neuchâtel Xamax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.7%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
30.6%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
5
8º
10º
8º
10
2º
7º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
14 | 40 |
1º
|
89% | |
|
6º
|
8 | 28 |
2º
|
26% | |
|
8º
|
5 | 26 |
3º
|
16.5% | |
|
3º
|
10 | 25 |
4º
|
17% | |
|
|
4º
|
10 | 25 |
5º
|
16.5% | |
|
5º
|
8 | 23 |
6º
|
10% | |
|
2º
|
11 | 23 |
7º
|
16% | |
|
|
9º
|
5 | 20 |
8º
|
12% | |
|
7º
|
7 | 19 |
9º
|
17.5% | |
|
10º
|
4 | 18 |
10º
|
42% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 2% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
3.5% | 14.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
81.5% | 81.5% |
|
Relegation
|
15% | 2% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
WIL
2 - 2
FCA
33%
25%
42%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2024 |
FCA
1 - 3
THU
26%
24%
49%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
YOB
1 - 0
FCA
77%
14%
9%
|
65 | 85 | 20 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
LUG
0 - 1
FCA
72%
17%
11%
|
65 | 84 | 19 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
FCA
3 - 3
KRI
69%
18%
13%
|
65 | 50 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Neuchâtel Xamax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
ETO
3 - 1
NEX
41%
25%
34%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2024 |
NEX
3 - 2
STA
34%
26%
39%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
NEX
0 - 3
LAU
25%
23%
52%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2024 |
SIO
0 - 3
NEX
65%
20%
15%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | +1 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
NEX
1 - 0
DEL
70%
18%
13%
|
64 | 50 | 14 | 0 |