Super League Playoffs Promotion Final
Global 4-4
Aarau vs Neuchâtel Xamax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.5%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
28.6%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.2%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2019 |
NEX
0 - 4
FCA
52%
22%
26%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2019 |
FCA
1 - 0
RAP
70%
18%
12%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2019 |
CHI
0 - 1
FCA
17%
22%
61%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2019 |
FCA
1 - 1
KRI
63%
20%
17%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2019 |
SCH
1 - 2
FCA
22%
23%
54%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Neuchâtel Xamax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2019 |
NEX
0 - 4
FCA
52%
22%
26%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2019 |
BAS
4 - 1
NEX
73%
17%
10%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2019 |
NEX
1 - 1
LUG
42%
25%
33%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2019 |
SIO
1 - 0
NEX
48%
25%
28%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2019 |
NEX
1 - 2
ZUR
41%
25%
34%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |