Aarau vs Neuchâtel Xamax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.3%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
35.4%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 1985 |
CRV
2 - 0
FCA
71%
18%
12%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1985 |
BAS
4 - 1
FCA
47%
25%
29%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 1985 |
FCA
5 - 1
FCL
68%
19%
14%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 1985 |
FCW
1 - 6
FCA
43%
26%
32%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1985 |
FCA
2 - 2
LAU
64%
20%
16%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Neuchâtel Xamax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 1985 |
NEX
3 - 0
SPO
73%
16%
11%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1985 |
NEX
8 - 0
BAD
84%
11%
5%
|
83 | 49 | 34 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1985 |
LAC
0 - 3
NEX
20%
21%
59%
|
83 | 65 | 18 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1985 |
NEX
9 - 1
ZUR
63%
20%
17%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1985 |
SIO
3 - 1
NEX
48%
23%
29%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |