Aarau vs Luzern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.2%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.3%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
43%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2010 |
BAS
2 - 1
FCA
81%
14%
6%
|
63 | 84 | 21 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
FCA
6 - 3
BEL
35%
26%
39%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
FCL
6 - 0
FCA
66%
21%
14%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
ZUR
2 - 0
FCA
72%
18%
11%
|
63 | 82 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
FCA
0 - 2
STG
27%
26%
47%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
FCL
2 - 1
BEL
61%
21%
18%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2010 |
YOB
2 - 1
FCL
70%
18%
13%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
FCL
4 - 2
GCZ
39%
26%
35%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2009 |
FCL
1 - 4
STG
50%
23%
27%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | -2 |
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
FCL
6 - 0
FCA
66%
21%
14%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | +1 |