Aarau vs Luzern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.8%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
24%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
25.1%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2001 |
FCA
2 - 0
WIN
53%
25%
22%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2001 |
WIL
2 - 3
FCA
54%
23%
23%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2001 |
FCA
1 - 1
NEX
45%
25%
30%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2001 |
NEX
3 - 2
FCA
54%
23%
23%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2001 |
FCA
1 - 0
WIL
46%
25%
29%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2001 |
BEL
0 - 1
FCL
50%
24%
26%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2001 |
YOB
2 - 0
FCL
54%
23%
23%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2001 |
FCL
4 - 3
YVE
49%
25%
26%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2001 |
FCL
1 - 0
YOB
44%
25%
30%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2001 |
YVE
1 - 1
FCL
45%
25%
30%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |