Aarau vs FC Lugano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.9%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
14.6%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 1998 |
YOB
1 - 1
FCA
49%
25%
26%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 1998 |
FCA
2 - 2
LAU
33%
26%
41%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 1998 |
GCZ
2 - 0
FCA
81%
13%
7%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 1998 |
FCA
2 - 6
STG
43%
25%
32%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Jul. 1998 |
NEX
0 - 0
FCA
65%
20%
15%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 1998 |
LUG
2 - 2
SIO
29%
27%
43%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 1998 |
FCL
1 - 2
LUG
57%
25%
19%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 1998 |
YOB
0 - 1
LUG
64%
21%
15%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 31 Jul. 1998 |
LUG
1 - 2
LAU
23%
25%
52%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | -1 |
| 25 Jul. 1998 |
GCZ
3 - 2
LUG
86%
10%
4%
|
66 | 82 | 16 | 0 |