Aarau vs FC Lugano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.1%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
25%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
21.9%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 1994 |
FCA
3 - 0
ZUR
57%
24%
19%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 1994 |
SIO
2 - 0
FCA
54%
26%
21%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | -2 |
| 10 May. 1994 |
FCA
1 - 1
GCZ
38%
28%
34%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 May. 1994 |
SER
1 - 0
FCA
58%
23%
19%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1994 |
FCA
4 - 3
LUG
53%
26%
21%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 1994 |
LUG
3 - 0
SIO
38%
28%
34%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 1994 |
BAS
0 - 1
LUG
65%
20%
15%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 May. 1994 |
LAU
0 - 2
LUG
51%
25%
24%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1994 |
LUG
1 - 0
SIO
34%
28%
38%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1994 |
FCA
4 - 3
LUG
53%
26%
21%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |