Aarau vs Locarno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.5%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
9%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
23%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
22.5%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
STA
2 - 2
FCA
38%
25%
37%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2012 |
WOH
1 - 3
FCA
39%
25%
36%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
FCA
1 - 0
LUG
36%
25%
39%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
FCV
3 - 2
FCA
56%
22%
22%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2012 |
FCA
3 - 5
YOB
11%
19%
71%
|
55 | 83 | 28 | +1 |
Matches
Locarno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
LOC
1 - 1
WIN
36%
25%
39%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
SCB
0 - 6
LOC
22%
22%
56%
|
51 | 38 | 13 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
FCV
2 - 0
LOC
66%
19%
15%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
LOC
1 - 1
CHI
43%
26%
31%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
LOC
0 - 4
BEL
34%
23%
42%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | +1 |