Aarau vs FC Vaduz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.8%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.2%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
35.9%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
11
4º
10º
4º
11
2º
9º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
18 | 35 |
1º
|
72.5% | |
|
2º
|
16 | 28 |
2º
|
25% | |
|
3º
|
16 | 27 |
3º
|
17% | |
|
|
7º
|
11 | 25 |
4º
|
16.5% | |
|
4º
|
14 | 25 |
5º
|
16% | |
|
|
8º
|
11 | 25 |
6º
|
15.5% | |
|
9º
|
9 | 23 |
7º
|
14% | |
|
5º
|
12 | 23 |
8º
|
19.5% | |
|
6º
|
11 | 22 |
9º
|
20% | |
|
10º
|
7 | 15 |
10º
|
70% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
2% | 1% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
6.5% | 3.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
87.5% | 89.5% |
|
Relegation
|
4% | 6% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2024 |
STA
1 - 2
FCA
30%
23%
47%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2024 |
FCA
1 - 2
SCH
49%
25%
27%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2024 |
FCV
2 - 5
FCA
46%
24%
30%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | +2 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
FCA
1 - 0
FCL
17%
21%
62%
|
65 | 83 | 18 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2024 |
GCZ
1 - 2
FCA
61%
20%
19%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
FC Vaduz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
FCV
2 - 1
BEL
49%
24%
27%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2024 |
ETO
1 - 0
FCV
38%
24%
38%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2024 |
FCV
2 - 5
FCA
46%
24%
30%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2024 |
TRI
0 - 13
FCV
3%
7%
91%
|
69 | 11 | 58 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2024 |
FCV
1 - 0
FCL
21%
22%
58%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | +1 |