Aarau vs FC Vaduz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
30.5%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
FCA
5 - 2
STA
47%
24%
29%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
FCS
0 - 7
FCA
2%
4%
94%
|
64 | 8 | 56 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2021 |
NEX
4 - 2
FCA
25%
23%
53%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2021 |
THU
1 - 2
FCA
43%
25%
32%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
FCA
2 - 0
SCH
59%
22%
20%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
FC Vaduz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
SCH
1 - 1
FCV
28%
25%
48%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2021 |
STA
1 - 0
FCV
32%
25%
43%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2021 |
FCV
1 - 2
NEX
65%
20%
14%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 2021 |
FCV
1 - 3
UJP
37%
24%
39%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Jul. 2021 |
WIL
2 - 3
FCV
18%
23%
59%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |