Super League PO Final Semi-finals
Global 9-1
Aarau vs FC Malley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.7%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.7%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
11%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.7%
8.6%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 1987 |
NEX
2 - 1
FCA
71%
18%
11%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 1987 |
FCA
1 - 1
FCL
51%
24%
25%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1987 |
STG
3 - 1
FCA
60%
22%
18%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 May. 1987 |
FCA
3 - 1
LOC
79%
14%
8%
|
75 | 58 | 17 | +1 |
| 16 May. 1987 |
SIO
3 - 2
FCA
73%
17%
11%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | -1 |