Aarau vs Delemont analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.3%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
20%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2000 |
FCA
2 - 0
THU
61%
21%
17%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2000 |
BEL
2 - 2
FCA
49%
24%
27%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2000 |
LUG
3 - 2
FCA
56%
24%
21%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2000 |
FCA
2 - 0
BAD
66%
21%
14%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2000 |
SIO
2 - 0
FCA
53%
24%
22%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Delemont
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2000 |
DEL
0 - 4
BEL
52%
23%
25%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2000 |
THU
1 - 1
DEL
49%
24%
27%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2000 |
ZUR
0 - 3
DEL
70%
18%
12%
|
66 | 81 | 15 | +2 |
| 26 Mar. 2000 |
DEL
3 - 2
SIO
33%
25%
42%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2000 |
BAD
0 - 2
DEL
46%
24%
30%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | +1 |