Aarau vs Chiasso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.7%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.5%
11.8%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2020 |
FCA
1 - 3
STA
57%
21%
22%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2020 |
FCV
1 - 1
FCA
58%
21%
21%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2020 |
FCA
2 - 3
WIN
53%
23%
25%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2020 |
KRI
4 - 1
FCA
38%
24%
38%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | -2 |
| 03 Jul. 2020 |
FCA
5 - 4
LAU
22%
23%
55%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Chiasso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2020 |
CHI
0 - 2
WIN
21%
23%
56%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2020 |
GCZ
2 - 1
CHI
73%
18%
9%
|
48 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2020 |
CHI
2 - 4
KRI
17%
22%
61%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | -1 |
| 07 Jul. 2020 |
LAU
2 - 1
CHI
76%
17%
8%
|
49 | 71 | 22 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2020 |
CHI
1 - 1
SCH
34%
26%
41%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |