Aarau vs Chiasso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.9%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
20.4%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2017 |
WOH
1 - 1
FCA
22%
24%
54%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2017 |
FCA
0 - 0
SER
42%
26%
32%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
FCV
4 - 1
FCA
46%
25%
29%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
SCH
4 - 1
FCA
51%
23%
26%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2017 |
FCA
3 - 3
WIN
70%
18%
12%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Chiasso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
CHI
1 - 1
WIN
54%
24%
22%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
CHI
4 - 0
WOH
47%
25%
27%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2017 |
FCL
0 - 3
CHI
75%
16%
8%
|
58 | 77 | 19 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
WIL
2 - 3
CHI
37%
26%
37%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
RAP
1 - 1
CHI
50%
26%
24%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | +1 |