Aarau vs Chiasso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.3%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
23.4%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 1992 |
LAU
3 - 0
FCA
65%
21%
14%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1992 |
LUG
4 - 1
FCA
56%
25%
19%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 1992 |
FCA
2 - 1
NEX
35%
29%
36%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 1992 |
SER
3 - 0
FCA
64%
21%
14%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 1992 |
FCA
1 - 1
ZUR
57%
23%
20%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Chiasso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 1992 |
CHI
0 - 0
STG
37%
28%
35%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1992 |
CHI
0 - 1
GCZ
32%
28%
40%
|
59 | 77 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1992 |
SIO
3 - 0
CHI
71%
18%
10%
|
60 | 79 | 19 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 1992 |
CHI
0 - 0
BUL
57%
23%
20%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 1992 |
YOB
1 - 0
CHI
72%
17%
11%
|
60 | 74 | 14 | 0 |