Aarau vs AC Bellinzona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.4%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
24%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
20.6%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2008 |
FCL
3 - 0
FCA
41%
28%
31%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2008 |
FCA
2 - 1
NEX
49%
26%
25%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2008 |
ZUR
4 - 0
FCA
63%
22%
16%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2008 |
STG
2 - 0
FCA
44%
25%
30%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2008 |
FCA
4 - 0
FCV
64%
22%
15%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
AC Bellinzona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2008 |
BEL
2 - 1
SIO
42%
26%
32%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2008 |
FCL
1 - 0
BEL
46%
26%
28%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2008 |
BEL
2 - 3
BAS
24%
24%
52%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2008 |
ZOF
2 - 3
BEL
14%
19%
67%
|
68 | 34 | 34 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2008 |
NEX
3 - 3
BEL
58%
23%
19%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |