Aarau vs AC Bellinzona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.1%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
18.1%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 1992 |
FCA
0 - 0
BAD
72%
19%
10%
|
73 | 53 | 20 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1992 |
FCM
1 - 1
FCA
37%
29%
34%
|
73 | 57 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1992 |
FCA
0 - 0
BAS
55%
23%
22%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 1992 |
LOC
0 - 1
FCA
50%
27%
24%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1991 |
FCA
1 - 2
NEX
33%
28%
39%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
AC Bellinzona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 1992 |
BEL
1 - 4
YVE
59%
23%
18%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1992 |
BEL
2 - 1
BAS
48%
24%
28%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 1992 |
LOC
1 - 0
BEL
53%
24%
23%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 1992 |
BEL
1 - 3
BAD
74%
17%
9%
|
67 | 50 | 17 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 1992 |
FCM
4 - 1
BEL
36%
27%
38%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | -1 |