Aarau vs AC Bellinzona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.3%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.3%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
15.3%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 1989 |
STG
0 - 0
FCA
51%
26%
23%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 1989 |
FCA
2 - 0
LAU
59%
22%
19%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Jul. 1989 |
FCA
1 - 2
FCW
58%
24%
19%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 1988 |
BEL
1 - 0
FCA
52%
25%
23%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 1988 |
FCA
4 - 1
SIO
41%
25%
34%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
AC Bellinzona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 1989 |
BEL
2 - 1
YOB
32%
27%
41%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 1989 |
FCL
2 - 2
BEL
62%
22%
17%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 1989 |
BEL
2 - 2
LUG
40%
27%
33%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Jun. 1989 |
SER
4 - 2
BEL
64%
20%
16%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 1989 |
BEL
0 - 1
FCW
46%
28%
26%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | -1 |