Aarau vs AC Bellinzona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.6%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.7%
3-0
8%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.2%
13.2%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 1986 |
SER
3 - 2
FCA
64%
21%
16%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1986 |
FCA
2 - 0
LAU
54%
22%
24%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 1986 |
GCZ
2 - 0
FCA
64%
21%
15%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 1986 |
FCA
4 - 4
LAC
73%
18%
10%
|
74 | 52 | 22 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1986 |
VEV
0 - 2
FCA
41%
26%
32%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
AC Bellinzona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 1986 |
BEL
5 - 1
LAC
65%
21%
14%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1986 |
GCZ
1 - 1
BEL
78%
14%
8%
|
61 | 81 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1986 |
BEL
4 - 2
LAU
35%
26%
39%
|
60 | 75 | 15 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 1986 |
YOB
0 - 2
BEL
74%
16%
10%
|
58 | 79 | 21 | +2 |
| 04 Oct. 1986 |
ZUR
2 - 2
BEL
72%
17%
12%
|
58 | 77 | 19 | 0 |