Aarau vs AC Bellinzona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.5%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.8%
14.7%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 1982 |
FCA
2 - 1
BAS
32%
22%
46%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1982 |
GCZ
3 - 1
FCA
77%
14%
9%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1982 |
FCA
2 - 0
LAU
57%
23%
21%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1982 |
NOB
0 - 1
FCA
42%
26%
32%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 1982 |
FCA
2 - 4
YOB
44%
26%
30%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
AC Bellinzona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 1982 |
SER
3 - 1
BEL
83%
11%
6%
|
61 | 84 | 23 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1982 |
BEL
1 - 1
FCL
39%
26%
35%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1982 |
BAS
3 - 1
BEL
85%
10%
5%
|
61 | 81 | 20 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1982 |
BEL
2 - 1
VEV
52%
25%
24%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 1982 |
GCZ
4 - 1
BEL
82%
11%
7%
|
61 | 84 | 23 | -1 |