FC Aarau U15 vs Winterthur U15 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
6.3%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.7%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.2%
1-0
2.1%
2-1
1.9%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
4.7%
12.3%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.3%
81.5%
Win probability
2.81
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
12.2%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.8%
0-3
11.4%
1-4
5.4%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
17.9%
0-4
8%
1-5
3%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0%
-4
11.5%
0-5
4.5%
1-6
1.4%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
6.1%
0-6
2.1%
1-7
0.6%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.7%
0-7
0.8%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1.1%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.4%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+531%
-44%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
6
8º
10º
9º
25
1º
7º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
41 | 41 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
37 | 37 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
35 | 35 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
32 | 32 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
30 | 30 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 29 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
25 | 25 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
19 | 19 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
6 | 6 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
5 | 5 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Aarau U15
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
CON
4 - 1
FCA
90%
7%
3%
|
9 | 25 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
FCA
2 - 3
TTI
10%
15%
76%
|
9 | 19 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
GCZ
3 - 1
FCA
91%
7%
2%
|
9 | 29 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
FCA
1 - 3
STG
7%
13%
80%
|
10 | 25 | 15 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
FCA
3 - 5
KRI
12%
16%
72%
|
10 | 19 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Winterthur U15
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
WIN
5 - 1
ZOB
92%
6%
2%
|
25 | 7 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
FCZ
3 - 5
WIN
28%
21%
50%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
WIN
5 - 4
LUZ
39%
22%
40%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
KRI
0 - 2
WIN
37%
22%
41%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
CON
3 - 1
WIN
51%
21%
28%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | -1 |