FC Aarau U15 vs Concordia Basel U15 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
5.6%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.6%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.1%
1-0
1.8%
2-1
1.8%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
4.3%
11.4%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.3%
83%
Win probability
2.92
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.6%
0-3
11.6%
1-4
5.6%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
18.3%
0-4
8.5%
1-5
3.3%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0%
-4
12.3%
0-5
4.9%
1-6
1.6%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
6.8%
0-6
2.4%
1-7
0.7%
2-8
0.1%
-6
3.2%
0-7
1%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1.3%
0-8
0.4%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.4%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+819%
-71%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
6
8º
10º
9º
35
2º
6º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
41 | 41 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
37 | 37 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
35 | 35 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
32 | 32 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
30 | 30 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 29 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 25 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
19 | 19 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
6 | 6 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
5 | 5 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Aarau U15
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
TTI
4 - 0
FCA
91%
7%
2%
|
8 | 22 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
FCA
1 - 4
GCZ
6%
12%
83%
|
8 | 33 | 25 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
STG
5 - 0
FCA
91%
7%
3%
|
9 | 23 | 14 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
KRI
5 - 2
FCA
87%
9%
4%
|
9 | 18 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
ZOB
2 - 1
FCA
24%
20%
56%
|
10 | 6 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Concordia Basel U15
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
CON
1 - 0
ZOB
93%
5%
2%
|
24 | 6 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
FCZ
2 - 2
CON
27%
21%
52%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
CON
5 - 6
LUZ
51%
21%
29%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
WIN
2 - 4
CON
46%
21%
33%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
CON
5 - 1
KRI
65%
18%
17%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | 0 |