1980 Wien vs Union Mauer analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.6%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
10.3%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
17.6%
65.8%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
3%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
19%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
4.9%
2-5
1.5%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
13%
0-4
4%
1-5
2.5%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7.2%
0-5
2%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.3%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
50
3º
8º
4º
78
1º
2º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
78 | 78 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
75 | 75 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 51 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 34 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 30 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
29 | 29 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
24 | 24 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
19 | 19 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
1980 Wien
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2023 |
GER
0 - 0
FCW
42%
22%
37%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
FCW
2 - 0
AUS
45%
21%
34%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2023 |
SCH
2 - 3
FCW
49%
21%
30%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
FCW
7 - 1
SIM
66%
17%
18%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
ASV
0 - 0
FCW
24%
20%
56%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Union Mauer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
SPO
6 - 0
KAG
83%
11%
6%
|
42 | 17 | 25 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
SKS
1 - 1
SPO
17%
19%
64%
|
42 | 25 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
SPO
1 - 0
DON
73%
16%
11%
|
41 | 28 | 13 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2023 |
RED
1 - 0
SPO
9%
13%
78%
|
42 | 17 | 25 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
SPO
1 - 0
STA
78%
14%
8%
|
42 | 27 | 15 | 0 |