1980 Wien vs Red Star Penzing analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.7%
Win probability
3.17
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.5%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.1%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.2%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.5%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.9%
11.6%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
11.6%
7.6%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
+14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
50
3º
8º
4º
51
3º
9º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
78 | 78 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
75 | 75 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
51 | 51 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 34 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 30 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
29 | 29 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
24 | 24 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
19 | 19 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
1980 Wien
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
STA
0 - 2
FCW
67%
18%
15%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2023 |
SCH
6 - 4
FCW
55%
21%
24%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Jul. 2023 |
FCW
3 - 2
SCW
14%
16%
71%
|
18 | 37 | 19 | +1 |
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
SPO
4 - 0
FCW
83%
11%
6%
|
18 | 36 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
FCW
3 - 3
39%
22%
39%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Red Star Penzing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2023 |
RED
5 - 0
KAG
73%
15%
12%
|
11 | 6 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2021 |
RED
2 - 1
SKS
18%
19%
63%
|
10 | 19 | 9 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 2021 |
AUS
1 - 4
RED
81%
12%
7%
|
7 | 31 | 24 | +3 |
| 05 Aug. 2020 |
RED
6 - 2
FCJ
38%
22%
40%
|
6 | 7 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2019 |
RED
1 - 3
VIE
9%
14%
77%
|
6 | 40 | 34 | 0 |