Q. Europa League Ronda previa Final
Global 3-4
FBK Kaunas vs Maccabi Tel Aviv analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.1%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
26.3%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FBK Kaunas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 1999 |
FBK
3 - 1
ATL
53%
24%
23%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 1999 |
INK
1 - 4
FBK
46%
25%
29%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 1999 |
MTA
3 - 1
FBK
67%
18%
15%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 1999 |
FKK
2 - 4
FBK
53%
24%
23%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 Jul. 1999 |
DAI
0 - 1
FBK
31%
26%
43%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Maccabi Tel Aviv
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 1999 |
MTA
0 - 0
MAC
76%
15%
8%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 1999 |
MPT
2 - 1
MTA
25%
27%
48%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | -2 |
| 12 Aug. 1999 |
MTA
3 - 1
FBK
67%
18%
15%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 May. 1999 |
HKS
0 - 5
MTA
27%
26%
47%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1999 |
MTA
2 - 1
BNE
77%
15%
8%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | 0 |