Qualif. Champions Final
Global 1-5
FBK Kaunas vs Liverpool analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.1%
1-0
10%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
42.3%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FBK Kaunas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2005 |
FBK
4 - 0
HBT
58%
22%
20%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2005 |
HBT
2 - 4
FBK
44%
23%
33%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Jul. 2005 |
FAS
1 - 0
FBK
15%
22%
63%
|
77 | 54 | 23 | -1 |
| 02 Jul. 2005 |
FBK
5 - 0
NEV
78%
15%
7%
|
77 | 46 | 31 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2005 |
FBK
1 - 2
FKE
49%
25%
26%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2005 |
TNS
0 - 3
LIV
23%
27%
50%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2005 |
LIV
3 - 0
TNS
66%
21%
12%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2005 |
LIV
3 - 3
ACM
21%
24%
55%
|
87 | 93 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2005 |
LIV
2 - 1
ASV
53%
25%
22%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2005 |
ARS
3 - 1
LIV
74%
17%
10%
|
88 | 94 | 6 | -1 |