Qualif. Champions Segunda ronda Final
Global 0-5
FBK Kaunas vs Celtic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.7%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
33.5%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FBK Kaunas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2003 |
FBK
1 - 0
VIL
81%
13%
6%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2003 |
FBK
4 - 1
HBT
61%
21%
19%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 Jul. 2003 |
HBT
0 - 1
FBK
41%
24%
36%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2003 |
ATL
0 - 1
FBK
39%
26%
35%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Jun. 2003 |
FBK
2 - 2
FKE
58%
23%
18%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Celtic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2003 |
KIL
0 - 4
CEL
31%
26%
43%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2003 |
CEL
2 - 3
FCP
26%
23%
51%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2003 |
CEL
6 - 2
DUN
65%
20%
15%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2003 |
CEL
1 - 0
HOM
62%
21%
17%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2003 |
MHE
0 - 4
CEL
24%
24%
52%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | 0 |