Qualif. Champions Primera ronda Final
Global 4-3
FBK Kaunas vs Brotnjo Citluk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.6%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.9%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.6%
7.8%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FBK Kaunas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jul. 2000 |
FBK
4 - 0
FKP
80%
14%
6%
|
77 | 59 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2000 |
ZAL
1 - 1
FBK
48%
25%
27%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2000 |
FKK
1 - 5
FBK
44%
25%
31%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2000 |
FBK
1 - 1
FKE
51%
25%
24%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2000 |
INK
1 - 3
FBK
27%
25%
48%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Brotnjo Citluk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 2000 |
ZEL
0 - 0
BRO
74%
16%
10%
|
61 | 77 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2000 |
BRO
1 - 3
ZEL
20%
25%
55%
|
62 | 76 | 14 | -1 |