FBK Karlstad vs Stockholm Internazionale analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.9%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.1%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
21.3%
64.8%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
12.9%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.1%
0-3
8.1%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11.5%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+29%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
5º
15º
13º
54
2º
10º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
58 | 68 |
1º
|
59% | |
|
|
3º
|
54 | 65 |
2º
|
33% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 65 |
3º
|
41.5% | |
|
4º
|
38 | 48 |
4º
|
42.5% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 45 |
5º
|
19% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 44 |
6º
|
25% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 44 |
7º
|
19.5% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 43 |
8º
|
20% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 37 |
9º
|
25% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 36 |
10º
|
31% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 34 |
11º
|
24% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 33 |
12º
|
20.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
23 | 30 |
13º
|
27.5% | |
|
14º
|
21 | 28 |
14º
|
26% | |
|
15º
|
19 | 26 |
15º
|
39% | |
|
16º
|
18 | 22 |
16º
|
65% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 24.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 33% |
|
Mid-table
|
36% | 42.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
27.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
36.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FBK Karlstad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
KAL
1 - 2
FBK
70%
18%
12%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
FBK
1 - 2
VAS
24%
24%
52%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
FBK
1 - 1
KAR
26%
25%
48%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
ASS
2 - 3
FBK
66%
19%
14%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
ASS
2 - 0
FBK
79%
14%
6%
|
45 | 64 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Stockholm Internazionale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
STO
4 - 0
AFC
60%
23%
18%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
TAB
0 - 2
STO
15%
22%
63%
|
64 | 45 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
STO
1 - 0
ORE
64%
21%
15%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2024 |
HTF
0 - 1
STO
28%
25%
48%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
STO
1 - 0
KAR
60%
23%
18%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | +1 |