FBK Karlstad vs Karlberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.4%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
37%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+31%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
5º
15º
13º
36
4º
13º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
53 | 66 |
1º
|
35.5% | |
|
1º
|
55 | 66 |
2º
|
30.5% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 65 |
3º
|
44% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 46 |
4º
|
18.5% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 45 |
5º
|
20.5% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 44 |
6º
|
20.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
36 | 44 |
7º
|
15.5% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 43 |
8º
|
22% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 37 |
9º
|
20% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 36 |
10º
|
24.5% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 35 |
11º
|
23% | |
|
13º
|
22 | 33 |
12º
|
29.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
23 | 30 |
13º
|
32% | |
|
14º
|
20 | 27 |
14º
|
29% | |
|
15º
|
19 | 26 |
15º
|
31% | |
|
16º
|
18 | 25 |
16º
|
34.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
34.5% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
32% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
33.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FBK Karlstad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
SOL
2 - 2
FBK
62%
20%
18%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
FBK
4 - 2
IFS
25%
22%
53%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | +2 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
FRI
2 - 3
FBK
60%
20%
20%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
FBK
0 - 2
TAB
30%
24%
47%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
AFC
3 - 0
FBK
72%
16%
12%
|
41 | 58 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Karlberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
KAL
2 - 2
HTF
42%
26%
32%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
STO
2 - 1
KAL
63%
21%
15%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
KAL
1 - 0
PIT
31%
25%
43%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
VAS
3 - 1
KAL
67%
19%
14%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
KAL
0 - 3
IFS
39%
22%
39%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |