FBK Karlstad vs Gauthiod analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.9%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.7%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.2%
13.9%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
-20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
56
1º
14º
2º
30
5º
14º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
56 | 59 |
1º
|
92.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
56 | 59 |
2º
|
92.5% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 51 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 47 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
42 | 42 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 36 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 32 |
7º
|
65% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 31 |
8º
|
24% | |
|
|
8º
|
30 | 30 |
9º
|
31.5% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 30 |
10º
|
34.5% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 28 |
11º
|
24% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 26 |
12º
|
59.5% | |
|
13º
|
20 | 20 |
13º
|
78% | |
|
14º
|
19 | 19 |
14º
|
78% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
7.5% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
92.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FBK Karlstad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
LID
0 - 1
FBK
27%
21%
52%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
YIK
1 - 3
FBK
16%
18%
66%
|
39 | 25 | 14 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
FBK
4 - 1
BKF
48%
21%
31%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
STE
2 - 2
FBK
36%
21%
43%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
NOR
1 - 2
FBK
17%
17%
66%
|
37 | 23 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Gauthiod
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
GAU
1 - 2
HER
48%
21%
31%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
VFK
0 - 0
GAU
34%
23%
43%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
YIK
1 - 0
GAU
26%
22%
52%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
GAU
3 - 2
LID
45%
22%
33%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2023 |
STE
3 - 1
GAU
47%
23%
30%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | -1 |