FBK Karlstad vs United IK Nordic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.6%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.4%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
57.5%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.5%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.6%
0-3
6%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.8%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
12
5º
15º
15º
35
1º
6º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
2º
|
35 | 65 |
1º
|
51% | |
|
1º
|
39 | 64 |
2º
|
40.5% | |
|
3º
|
30 | 58 |
3º
|
57.5% | |
|
4º
|
25 | 47 |
4º
|
24.5% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 46 |
5º
|
16% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 44 |
6º
|
13.5% | |
|
5º
|
23 | 42 |
7º
|
14.5% | |
|
10º
|
18 | 40 |
8º
|
11.5% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 38 |
9º
|
9.5% | |
|
8º
|
20 | 38 |
10º
|
9.5% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 37 |
11º
|
15% | |
|
12º
|
15 | 37 |
12º
|
12% | |
|
14º
|
13 | 32 |
13º
|
20% | |
|
13º
|
14 | 29 |
14º
|
28.5% | |
|
|
15º
|
12 | 24 |
15º
|
36% | |
|
16º
|
9 | 22 |
16º
|
46% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 51% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 33% |
|
Mid-table
|
3.5% | 16% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
7.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
89% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FBK Karlstad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2024 |
UME
2 - 1
FBK
62%
21%
17%
|
42 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
FBK
0 - 3
KAL
38%
25%
37%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
SOL
2 - 2
FBK
62%
20%
18%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
FBK
4 - 2
IFS
25%
22%
53%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | +2 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
FRI
2 - 3
FBK
60%
20%
20%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
United IK Nordic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2024 |
PIT
1 - 5
ASS
27%
25%
49%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
ASS
4 - 1
IFS
68%
19%
13%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
FRI
2 - 4
ASS
18%
22%
60%
|
60 | 44 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
ASS
4 - 0
SOL
58%
22%
20%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | +2 |
| 08 Apr. 2024 |
HTF
1 - 1
ASS
23%
24%
53%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | 0 |