FBK Balkan vs Rosengård analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.1%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
57.2%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.6%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+31%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
2º
10º
8º
60
1º
8º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
60 | 63 |
1º
|
66.5% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 62 |
2º
|
66.5% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 45 |
4º
|
55% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 44 |
5º
|
55% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 38 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 34 |
7º
|
82.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
8º
|
82.5% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 31 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 27 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 26 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 25 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 17 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 16 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 66.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 33.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FBK Balkan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2023 |
IFK
8 - 0
FBK
61%
19%
20%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2023 |
FBK
3 - 3
NOS
61%
19%
19%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
FBK
1 - 5
RAP
37%
22%
41%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | -2 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
VMA
2 - 3
FBK
25%
21%
54%
|
30 | 19 | 11 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
KAR
1 - 0
FBK
58%
19%
22%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Rosengård
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
ROS
1 - 3
HAS
43%
25%
32%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2023 |
KRI
0 - 2
ROS
19%
23%
58%
|
44 | 32 | 12 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
MAL
1 - 7
ROS
14%
19%
67%
|
43 | 22 | 21 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
ROS
4 - 3
TRE
81%
12%
7%
|
43 | 24 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
ROS
1 - 0
OST
81%
13%
7%
|
43 | 26 | 17 | 0 |