FBK Balkan vs Karlshamn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.6%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.3%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.9%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
42.4%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
1º
9º
9º
40
4º
13º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
61 | 61 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 54 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
45 | 45 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 29 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 26 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 26 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 24 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 24 |
14º
|
0% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FBK Balkan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
KRI
3 - 0
FBK
80%
13%
7%
|
26 | 43 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2024 |
TRE
3 - 2
FBK
62%
19%
19%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2024 |
FBK
2 - 3
SIM
45%
22%
33%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
RAP
3 - 0
FBK
53%
22%
25%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2024 |
FBK
1 - 2
NOS
64%
20%
17%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Karlshamn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
IFK
3 - 1
SIM
49%
21%
29%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
IFK
3 - 1
IFL
72%
16%
12%
|
31 | 19 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
NOS
1 - 1
IFK
32%
22%
46%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
KAR
4 - 1
IFK
64%
18%
18%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
IFK
1 - 0
HAS
21%
23%
56%
|
32 | 52 | 20 | +1 |