FBC Melgar vs UTC Cajamarca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.6%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
16.1%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FBC Melgar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2016 |
MEL
2 - 1
COM
52%
25%
23%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2016 |
UNI
1 - 3
MEL
48%
28%
24%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2016 |
VAL
1 - 2
MEL
45%
28%
28%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2016 |
MEL
1 - 0
ALI
49%
26%
25%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
ALI
1 - 0
MEL
41%
28%
31%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
UTC Cajamarca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2016 |
UNI
3 - 1
UTC
55%
26%
20%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
UTC
2 - 2
AUR
41%
27%
32%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2016 |
AYA
2 - 1
UTC
45%
26%
30%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2016 |
UTC
2 - 1
BOC
42%
28%
31%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
UTC
0 - 0
SPC
27%
25%
48%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |