FBC Melgar vs Universitario de Deportes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.8%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
23%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
20.1%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FBC Melgar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
MEL
3 - 2
SAM
63%
21%
16%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2018 |
CAN
1 - 1
MEL
29%
28%
43%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2018 |
MEL
3 - 3
UTC
58%
24%
18%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2018 |
COM
0 - 0
MEL
29%
27%
44%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2018 |
COM
2 - 2
MEL
25%
27%
49%
|
72 | 55 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Universitario de Deportes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
COM
3 - 4
UNI
27%
26%
48%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2018 |
UNI
0 - 1
GAR
40%
26%
34%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2018 |
MUN
0 - 2
UNI
51%
25%
24%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2018 |
UNI
1 - 1
ALI
41%
27%
31%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2018 |
SPC
1 - 0
UNI
65%
20%
15%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |